Propagation Summary
The sun has
been blank (no sunspots for 36 consecutive days. This is a sign that that solar minimum is
still underway despite recent signs of life from Solar Cycle 25. During Solar Minimum, auroras are confined mainly
to the Arctic. The next episode will
have occurred on 2-3 March, when a minor stream of solar wind reached
earth. http://bit.ly/2T6mlJw
The NOAA/ NASA
solar prediction panel predicts solar minimum to occurring in April 2020 (+/+
six months. The panel agreed that cycle
25 will be average in intensity and similar to solar cycle 24 with a peak on
July 2025 (+/- 8 months), with a smoothed sunspot number of 115 which would
make Solar cycle 25 very similar to solar cycles 24. http://bit.ly/2T6mlJw
Propagation
Forecast
Solar
activity is expected to be very low on 29 Feb to 2 March due to a minor stream
of solar wind. Quiet to unsettled conditions
are likely until 18-2 o March when another minor event is forecast.
The
Geomagnetic field is forecast to be at quiet to active levels on 1-2 March
followed by quiet to unsettled conditions until March 18-20 when quiet to
active conditions are likely. http://bit.ly/2jEdqR6
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