Saturday, 26 January 2019

February 2019

Propagation Summary
January started off with very low levels of solar activity increasing to low levels on Jan 6 due to an isolated C1 flare.  Very low levels returned until 24-25 Jan

The Solar flux was at normal levels on 1-4 Jan increasing to high levels on 6-10 Jan due to the C1 flare then moderate levels prevailed until 13 Jan. Another similar event occurred on 24-25 Jan followed by moderate levels...

The Geomagnetic Field was at quiet to G1 minor storm levels until 5 Jan when minor storm levels were observed returning to quiet to unsettled levels by 6 Jan, followed by quiet levels on 8-10 Jan.  The Solar wind increased on 11 Jan and by 12 Jan levels were quiet.  Solar wind then increased on 24-25 Jan producing a G1 magnetic storm. Quiet to minor storm levels are expected until the end of January

Propagation Forecast until 16 February
Solar activity is expected to be at very low levels throughout the outlook period. 
The solar flux is expected to be at normal to moderate levels on 28 Jan-01Feb and 07-16 Feb. Moderate to high levels are expected on 02-06 Feb.

Geomagnetic field activity is expected to be at unsettled to active on 31 Jan-03 Feb due to influence from a recurrent, negative polarity Coronal Hole High speed Stream. The remainder of the outlook period is expected to be at predominately quiet levels.

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